
Here we go . . . the real season (the Pac 10 season) begins this Thursday night against Oregon State Beavers in Corvallis, Oregon. And forget about what you've heard, it doesn't matter how bad the other Pac 10 teams have performed so far this year. They will come to play when SC is in town.
Oregon State is 1 - 2 on the year with a blow out win last week over Hawaii, but losses to Penn St. and Stanford. Here are the key players and stats for the Beavers:
Oregon State
Offense - QB Lyle Moeavo is having an above average season thus far, throwing for just over 300 yards per game with 6 TDs on a 61% completion rate. However, he has thrown (4) Ints and been sacked 4 times in 3 games. Moevao's main receiver targets are WRs Shane Morales and Sammy Stroughter who have (22) and (21) catches apiece, and combined for (5) TDs. The running game is lead by true frosh Jacquizz Rodgers who at 5'7 is hard to find and tackle. Rodgers is averaging almost 90 yards rushing per game. The OLine is the key to the Beavers' productivity as protecting the QB is job one. This unit is hoping for the return of their injured best blocker - Jeremy Perry - who's availability will be a gametime decision.
Defense - The defensive unit takes a step down from last year's outstanding group. In '08, the Beaver defense is only 8th in the Pac 10 against the run, as both Penn St. and Stanford rushed for over 200 yards against them in losses. And the "red zone" defense is horrible - offenses have put up (8) TDs and (1) in 10 opportunities once they get inside the 20 yard line on Oregon St. The unit also doesn’t get a lot of pressure on the passer - 8th in the conference in sacks with only four. LB Greg Laybourn is the most active player, leading the team in tackles. DLineman Victor Butler leads the charge up front collecting (3) TFLs thus far this season, and CB Keenan Lewis is the best of the DB unit with (1) Int and (4) passes defensed.
Special Teams - The kicking game for the Beavers is terrible. K Jason Kahut is 2 - 5 (40%) on the year, and misses anything over 30 yards. Kahut also doesn't have any touchbacks on kickoffs this year. The punting and coverage team is worse - ranking last in the Pac 10 with a net of 31 yards per punt. The one bright spot on special teams for Oregon St. is dangerous punt returner Sammy Stroughter (he took one to the house vs. SC in 2006), and kickoff returner James Rodgers has the Beavers at 2nd in the Pac 10 averaging 25+ yards per return.
USC
Offense
Defense - Because of the efficient Beaver passing game (#1 in the Pac 10), getting a good pass rush is important for the Trojan front (7). But USC's DLine and LBs must be careful. I believe the Beavers will try and use SC's quick up-field rush against them by running screen plays and draw plays with RB Jacquizz Rodgers. So Rey Maualuga and the rest of the LBs must play smart. I would expect Beaver QB Moevao to be in "3 step drop" mode for much of the game to pepper SC's DBs with the short passing game all game long. So the Trojan Dline can help by getting their hands up at the line of scrimmage.
Special Teams - Punt returner Joe McKnight might finally break through with a TD return because the Beaver punting game is so weak. And SC's kickoff return unit is the loneliest group on the Trojans. They rank last in the Pac 10, but its misleading because they have only had (3) opportunities to return a kickoff. The Trojan defense is so good, they don't allow the opponent to score a TD or FG, and therefore kickoff to Trojans Ronald Johnson and CJ Gable. So RoJo and Gable will have to make the most of their opportunities vs. the Beavers cuz the Oregon St. kickoff specialist does not put the ball in the end zone on kickoffs.
It's go time!
Prediction:
USC - 38
Oregon St. - 7


